TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 16, 9:55 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Ayutthaya Utd and Lamphun Warriors in Thailand's top league. The result depends solely on which team wins in regular time, or if the game ends in a tie. All outcomes are determined based on the final score after 90 minutes plus any added stoppage time, without considering extra time or penalty shootouts.
If Ayutthaya Utd wins the Ayutthaya Utd vs Lamphun Warriors professional Thai League 1 soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 16, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If Lamphun Warriors wins the Ayutthaya Utd vs Lamphun Warriors professional Thai League 1 soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 16, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie is the result of the Ayutthaya Utd vs Lamphun Warriors professional Thai League 1 soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 16, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply variations in how each entity assesses the probabilities of each team winning. Examining these differences can sometimes reveal insights into public perception versus informed prediction.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more traders believe Ayutthaya Utd will win, the price of contracts predicting their victory will increase, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities in real-time, offering a forward-looking assessment of the match’s potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by the official final score of the Ayutthaya Utd versus Lamphun Warriors match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The market will settle to 100 for the winning team, and 0 for the losing team. Traders holding contracts on the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before Oct 16, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Ayutthaya Utd or Lamphun Warriors would likely cause significant shifts in the odds. Changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a recent match, could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even pre-game tactical announcements from the coaches, could also serve as catalysts for movement in this market. Monitoring these signals can help you understand the evolving probabilities.