TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 1:56 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Trabzonspor will win their soccer match against Çaykur Rizespor on October 26, 2026. Currently, the aggregated probability of Trabzonspor winning is 100.0%, based on data from Kalshi and Polymarket. Resolution will be determined by official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers (TFF.org). Keep an eye on the match itself on October 26, 2026, as the final score will determine the outcome of this market.
This event is for the upcoming Süper Lig game, scheduled for Monday, October 26, 2026 between Çaykur Rizespor and Trabzonspor.
The event resolves based on the result of the Rizespor vs Trabzonspor professional Super Lig soccer match originally scheduled for October 26, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. If Rizespor wins, the 'Rizespor' market resolves to Yes. If Trabzonspor wins, the 'Trabzonspor' market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with the Governing League, and all trademarks, logos, and brand names belong to their respective owners.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Differences in pricing between Polymarket and Kalshi can arise from several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying risk appetites and information advantages, which influences trading behavior. Market design choices, such as trading fees and margin requirements, also play a role. Furthermore, the volume of trading on each platform—currently $3,029,580 overall—can impact price discovery. These factors contribute to the observed discrepancies in probabilities for the Rizespor vs. Trabzonspor match, even though both platforms address the same underlying event.