TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 4:15 PM EST
Polymarket
More markets for the Süper Lig game, scheduled for October 10 at 12:00 PM ET.
More markets for the Süper Lig game, scheduled for October 10 at 12:00 PM ET.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of participants, and can sometimes diverge from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and risk management, while this market is driven by individuals expressing their beliefs with real capital. If there's a significant difference, it may indicate that the crowd believes a sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular outcome. It's important to compare both to form a well-rounded perspective on the potential result.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting growing confidence. Conversely, selling pressure lowers the price. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective assessment of the event’s likelihood.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Çaykur Rizespor vs. Fenerbahçe match as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The specific outcome—which team wins or if the match ends in a draw—will determine which shares pay out 1 USDC each, while others expire worthless. Traders should monitor official sources as the match progresses to understand how the resolution is unfolding.
Several factors could significantly impact this market before Oct 10, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Çaykur Rizespor or Fenerbahçe SK would likely cause shifts in the odds. Unexpected changes in team form, tactical adjustments announced by the managers, or even weather conditions on match day could all influence trader sentiment. Major upsets in other related matches, or even broader sporting news, can also indirectly affect the perceived probabilities and drive trading activity in this market.