TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$198,896,558
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,591,877
500,572
Markets across
13,691
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,797
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
AVS Futebol vs. CD Santa Clara
Volume:
$62,444
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional Liga Portugal soccer match between AVS Futebol and CD Santa Clara scheduled for March 15, 2026. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi assess the outcome within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, with separate binary contracts for each team's win and a draw outcome.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket explicitly resolves the draw market to Yes if the match is canceled with no make-up game, while Kalshi's tie market does not address cancellation, creating potential divergence in a low-probability but material edge case.Hero Tip:
Monitor official Liga Portugal announcements for any postponement or cancellation. If cancellation occurs, Polymarket draw positions will resolve Yes, but Kalshi tie positions may face ambiguous resolution. Hedge accordingly or seek clarification from Kalshi before match day.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets (AVS win, Santa Clara win, draw). All reference Liga Portugal as primary source with 2-hour fallback to credible reporting. Draw market explicitly resolves Yes on full cancellation with no rescheduled match. Key quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve Yes.'
- Kalshi: Three outcome-based markets (AVS win, Santa Clara win, Tie). References Liga Portugal professional league context but does not explicitly define cancellation behavior for the Tie market. Key quote: 'If Tie wins the AVS Futebol SAD vs Santa Clara Azores professional Liga Portugal soccer game...then the market resolves to Yes.' Cancellation scenario is not addressed.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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