TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 4:01 AM EST
Kalshi
The Avispa vs Fagiano O Japan J1 League match will determine if either team secures a victory by a margin exceeding specific goal differences within the standard 90-minute regulation time plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.
All markets resolve based on the goal difference if Avispa or Fagiano O wins the Japan J1 League game scheduled for Oct 10, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. Markets specify different thresholds for the winning margin, with Avispa required to win by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals, and Fagiano O required to win by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals for resolution. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the Governing League, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between prediction market prices and sportsbook odds, it might indicate an opportunity for arbitrage, assuming transaction costs allow. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities as perceived by different groups.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Avispa vs Fagiano match. The price of each contract reflects the market’s current expectation of that outcome’s probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective intelligence of the crowd. This dynamic pricing mechanism means the odds are constantly evolving based on supply and demand for each possible result.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final spread result of the Avispa vs Fagiano match. The official result, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will determine which contracts payout and at what value. Traders will be able to see the final outcome and their resulting profits or losses on Kalshi following the event's completion.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 10, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, suspensions, or changes in coaching staff could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions at the match location could also play a role. Furthermore, major shifts in public sentiment, perhaps driven by expert analysis or influential commentators, could lead to increased trading volume and price movement. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of the teams’ relative strengths will likely impact this market.