TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 4:02 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether both Avispa and Fagiano O will score at least one goal in their Japan J1 League match scheduled for October 10, 2026. The result hinges on whether each team scores during the 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time, with own goals counted for the team to which they are awarded.
If Avispa and Fagiano O both score a goal in the Avispa vs Fagiano O Japan J1 League match originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically establish initial odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, aiming to balance their risk and ensure profitability. This market, however, is driven by individuals expressing their beliefs through trades, which can lead to odds that diverge from sportsbook lines, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. It’s common to see prediction markets incorporate information faster than traditional betting venues.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of 'Yes' (both teams score) or 'No' (one or neither team scores). The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability of the outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event’s likelihood. The market depth shows the available contracts at different price points, indicating the level of demand and supply for each outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether both Avispa Fukuoka and Fagiano Okayama score at least one goal during the scheduled match. The official match result, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will determine whether the 'Yes' or 'No' outcome is triggered. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Avispa or Fagiano would likely cause movement. Changes in team form, such as a recent winning or losing streak, could also shift trader sentiment. Weather conditions on match day, particularly if they are expected to be unfavorable for attacking play, might also impact the market. Finally, any significant pre-match analysis from reputable sports commentators could influence trading activity in this market.