TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 29, 5:40 PM EST
Kalshi
A soccer match between two teams determines which side progresses in the tournament. The market resolves according to which team advances from the tie, considering all aspects of the match including extra time if required.
If Avila advance past Salamanca in the Avila vs Salamanca soccer tie in the 1St Round of the Copa del Rey, then the market resolves to Yes. If Salamanca advance past Avila in the Avila vs Salamanca soccer tie in the 1St Round of the Copa del Rey, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance their risk and incorporate a profit margin, while this market is driven by traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook odds, it might suggest the crowd believes the sportsbook is mispricing the event. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities based on different methodologies and information sources.
This market resolves around Oct 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Avila vs Salamanca match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing body of the competition. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their chosen outcome aligned with the verified result. It’s important to monitor news sources leading up to the resolution date to stay informed about any potential factors that could influence the final outcome.
Several signals could significantly move this market before Oct 29, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either Avila or Salamanca would likely impact the odds. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments announced by the coaches, or even weather conditions on the day of the match could all influence trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player availability or significant shifts in public opinion, as reflected in polls or analyst predictions, could also lead to substantial price movements in this market.