TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$172,394,893
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,821,572,886
404,136
Markets across
40,075
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,369
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 8, 11:59 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for October 8 at 9:00PM ET: If the Avalanche win, the market will resolve to "Avalanche". If the Flames win, the market will resolve to "Flames". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for October 8 at 9:00PM ET: If the Avalanche win, the market will resolve to "Avalanche". If the Flames win, the market will resolve to "Flames". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and need to account for profit margins. This market, however, is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities as new information emerges. While sportsbooks may initially have an edge, prediction markets can often converge on a more refined assessment of the likely outcome, especially as the event approaches and more traders participate.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its shares will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing reflects the collective intelligence of the crowd and adjusts in real-time based on new information and trading activity.
This market resolves around Oct 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final official result of the Avalanche vs. Flames game, as reported by official sources. The platform will then determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts to those who correctly predicted the result. It’s important to monitor official sources leading up to the resolution date to stay informed about any potential factors that could influence the final result.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries, changes in team strategy, or unexpected performance in preceding games could shift trader sentiment. Major announcements about coaching decisions or team morale could also play a role. Furthermore, external factors like weather conditions (if an outdoor game) or significant media coverage influencing public perception could all contribute to price movements in this market. Monitoring these factors will be key to understanding potential shifts in the odds.