TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$230,557,910
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,202,344,730
501,342
Markets across
13,602
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,822
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Avalanche vs. Flames
Volume:
$770,420
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
On April 14, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET, the Colorado Avalanche will face the Calgary Flames in an NHL regular season game. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi are pricing outcomes including the winner, total goals scored, and margin of victory. All markets reference the same official game with consistent source material (NHL.com).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi settles on goal-differential thresholds (1.5+ or 2.5+ goal margins), while Polymarket settles on moneyline winner and total goals scored. The platforms use fundamentally different resolution logic for the same underlying game.Hero Tip:
If you bet on Kalshi, your outcome depends on the margin of victory (1.5 or 2.5 goals either way). If you bet on Polymarket, your outcome depends on who wins outright or the combined goal total. A 2-0 Avalanche win resolves YES on Kalshi (over 1.5) but only resolves to 'Avalanche' on Polymarket's moneyline—these are different market types entirely. Ensure your position matches your intended exposure.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi uses goal-differential thresholds as the sole resolution criterion. All four markets resolve YES if either team wins by 1.5+ goals or 2.5+ goals, regardless of which team wins. Key quote: 'If Colorado wins by over 2.5 goals... then the market resolves to Yes' and 'If Calgary wins by over 1.5 goals... then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket offers multiple market types—moneyline (Avalanche vs. Flames winner), and four separate over/under total-goals markets (O/U 4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5). Resolution is based on which team wins or combined goal totals, not margin of victory. Key quote: 'If the Avalanche win, the market will resolve to Avalanche. If the Flames win, the market will resolve to Flames' and 'This market will resolve to Over if the Avalanche and Flames combine to score 6 or more goals.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.