TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$172,394,893
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,821,572,886
404,136
Markets across
40,075
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,369
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 9:53 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether the total goals scored in the Avalanche versus Devils NHL game will be over or under 4.5. Currently, Polymarket gives an 80.5% probability to “Avalanche vs. Devils: O/U 4.5”. Resolution will be based on the official scores reported at https://www.nhl.com/scores. Keep an eye on the game itself, scheduled for October 20 at 7:00PM ET, as the final score will determine the outcome of this market.
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for October 20 at 7:00PM ET: If the Avalanche win, the market will resolve to "Avalanche". If the Devils win, the market will resolve to "Devils". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, representing their profit margin. This market, however, is driven purely by trader predictions, theoretically offering a more accurate reflection of true probabilities, though market dynamics can still lead to discrepancies. It's common to see differences in implied probabilities, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts leading up to the event. Comparing these odds can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price reflects the aggregated wisdom of the crowd, constantly adjusting to new information and changing perceptions about the Avalanche-Devils game. This dynamic pricing allows for a fluid and responsive assessment of potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result will be based on the official outcome of the Avalanche-Devils game, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. Resolution will occur after the completion of the game and verification of the final score. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in losing outcomes will not. The exact timing of the payout may vary slightly depending on the verification process.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or coaching strategies could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected performance in preceding games, or even weather conditions on game day, might also play a role. Public statements from key players or analysts could also impact the market, as could major shifts in betting patterns at traditional sportsbooks. Monitoring these signals can provide valuable insights into potential market movements and inform your trading decisions.