TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 7, 8:30 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in an upcoming soccer match between Avai and Londrina. Bettors assess whether the combined goals from both teams will exceed specific thresholds by the end of regular time. The outcome depends purely on the match's scoring dynamics.
The event evaluates multiple thresholds for total goals scored during the Avai vs Londrina Brasileiro Serie B soccer match scheduled for October 7, 2026. Each market resolves based on whether the combined goals from both teams exceed a specified number—ranging from more than 0.5 to more than 5.5 goals—within the 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. All markets share the same underlying condition: the total goals counted must surpass the threshold set for each respective market for it to resolve as 'Yes'. If the total goals equal or fall short of the threshold, the market resolves as 'No'. The rules clarify that Kalshi holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or promotional offers. Sportsbooks set initial lines to balance betting action, while this market allows traders to freely adjust prices based on their own analysis and information. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, it may indicate that the market believes the sportsbook has mispriced the event, or vice versa. It's important to remember that both represent probabilities, but are derived through different mechanisms and may appeal to different types of bettors.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market's probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly updating their assessments based on new information, leading to dynamic price adjustments. The current price represents the collective belief of all participants in the market regarding the total goals scored in the Avai vs Londrina match.
This market resolves around Oct 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total number of goals scored in the Avai vs Londrina match will be used to determine the winning contract. Official match statistics from a recognized sporting data provider will serve as the basis for verifying the final result. The resolution process aims to provide a transparent and objective determination of the outcome, based on publicly available data. Traders will be able to see the final result and the corresponding payout for their contracts after resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either Avai or Londrina would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain, could also affect the expected number of goals. Team form, recent match results, and tactical changes announced by the managers could all contribute to price movements. Even public sentiment and betting patterns observed elsewhere could influence trading activity on Kalshi, shifting the market's assessment of the likely outcome.