TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 7, 7:54 PM EST
Kalshi
This event determines if both Avai and Londrina will score in their Brasileiro Serie B fixture scheduled for October 7, 2026. A successful resolution requires each team to score at least one goal during the 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time, with own goals counted for the team awarded the goal.
If Avai and Londrina both score a goal in the Avai vs Londrina Brasileiro Serie B match originally scheduled for Oct 7, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may also incorporate a margin for profit. This market, driven by individual traders on Kalshi, can sometimes offer more accurate probabilities, especially as new information emerges. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions, access to information, or simply the dynamics of supply and demand within the prediction market. It’s worth comparing the implied probabilities to those offered by sportsbooks to identify potential value.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of both teams scoring in the Avai vs Londrina match. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy contracts, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived likelihood of 'Yes' (both teams to score). Conversely, selling contracts drives the price down, suggesting a lower probability. The market efficiently aggregates the collective beliefs of participants, resulting in a real-time assessment of the event's outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether both Avai and Londrina score at least one goal during the match. Official match data will be used to determine if both teams have found the back of the net. The final result will be based on the official scoreline reported by recognized sports data providers, ensuring an objective and verifiable outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Avai or Londrina would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected lineup announcements or pre-match analysis highlighting a team’s attacking prowess or defensive weaknesses could further move the market. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of both teams scoring will likely be reflected in the price on Kalshi.