TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 12:08 PM EST
Kalshi
The match between Avai and Ceara will resolve based on the total number of goals scored by both teams within the standard 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootout.
All markets resolve based on the total goals scored in the Avai vs Ceara Brasileiro Serie B soccer match scheduled for October 3, 2026. The outcome is determined solely by whether the combined goals exceed specified thresholds (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5). Extra time and penalty shootout goals are excluded from all calculations. The match must be officially completed within the regular 90 minutes plus stoppage time for the markets to resolve; otherwise, they will be void.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by real money changing hands as people express their beliefs about the outcome. Often, you’ll find prediction market prices move more quickly to incorporate new information, as traders react instantly to news and developments. However, sportsbook odds can sometimes be more readily available and easier to compare across different providers.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, meaning buyers and sellers set the prices for contracts representing different total goal outcomes in the Avai vs Ceara match. Traders submit bids (what they’re willing to pay) and asks (what they’re willing to sell for), and the market price fluctuates based on supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a contract represents the probability of that outcome occurring, with higher prices indicating a greater perceived chance. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to reflect the evolving expectations of participants.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total number of goals scored in the Avai vs Ceara match will be the determining factor. Official match statistics from a recognized sporting authority will be used to establish the final result. The market will then settle based on which outcome—the total goals scored—matches the corresponding contract on Kalshi. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those on incorrect outcomes will forfeit their stake.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Avai or Ceara would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact the style of play, could also shift prices. Unexpected lineup announcements or tactical changes revealed before the match could also affect trader sentiment. Finally, even general news about team form or recent performance can contribute to price fluctuations as traders adjust their predictions before Oct 3, 2026.