TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 12:09 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets resolve based on the margin of victory for either Avai or Ceara within the standard 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.
These markets resolve based on the winning margin in the Avai vs Ceara Brasileiro Serie B soccer match scheduled for October 3, 2026. For Avai, the market resolves to Yes if Avai wins by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals. For Ceara, the market resolves to Yes if Ceara wins by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals. Extra time and penalty shootout results are excluded from all calculations. The match must be officially completed within the regular 90 minutes plus stoppage time for the markets to resolve; otherwise, they will be void.
Prediction market odds often offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to make accurate predictions. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. If sportsbook odds suggest a clear favorite, this market might show a more nuanced expectation, or conversely, a greater degree of uncertainty. Comparing the two can provide a more comprehensive view of potential outcomes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the outcome of the Avai vs Ceara match. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. Buying a contract is essentially making a bet that the outcome will occur, while selling a contract is betting against it. The market determines the price based on supply and demand.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final result of the Avai vs Ceara match, specifically the spread as determined by official sources. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which contracts will pay out and at what value. Traders will be able to view the resolution details on Kalshi once the process is complete, and any winning contracts will be automatically settled.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 3, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or even weather conditions could shift expectations and impact trading activity. Unexpected announcements about team strategy or coaching changes could also play a role. Furthermore, significant shifts in public sentiment, perhaps driven by expert analysis or media coverage, could influence the collective prediction reflected in the market price. Monitoring these signals can help you understand potential price movements.