TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 12:05 PM EST
Kalshi
The match features two teams competing in a soccer league, with the outcome determined by whether both teams manage to score a goal during the regular 90 minutes plus any added stoppage time. The focus is solely on the performance of the teams within the standard match duration, excluding any extended play beyond this period. This scenario tests the offensive capabilities of both sides in a single, timed segment of play.
If Avai and Ceara both score a goal in the Avai vs Ceara Brasileiro Serie B match originally scheduled for Oct 3, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may be influenced by factors like public betting patterns or risk management. This market, driven by informed traders, can incorporate a wider range of information and perspectives. Discrepancies between prediction market prices and sportsbook odds can arise due to differing methodologies, information access, or simply varying opinions on the likelihood of an event. It's worth comparing both to gain a more comprehensive view.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the probability of both teams scoring in the Avai versus Ceara match. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability of the event occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy contracts, the price increases, indicating growing confidence in a 'Yes' outcome; conversely, selling pressure lowers the price. The market efficiently aggregates this collective intelligence, providing a real-time assessment of the likelihood of both teams finding the net.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether both Avai and Ceara score at least one goal during the match. Official match results from recognized sports data providers will be used to determine if both teams scored, and therefore the outcome of this market. The platform will then finalize the settlement based on the verified result, distributing payouts to contract holders accordingly.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Avai or Ceara would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, such as a recent winning or losing streak, could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even tactical changes announced by the managers, might cause fluctuations. Furthermore, any public statements or analysis from football experts could sway opinions and move the market price as traders react to new information.