TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$245,601,049
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,405,322
408,349
Markets across
39,583
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,443
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event concerns the Avai against Athletic Club Sjdr match in the Brasileiro Serie B, focusing on whether both sides find the back of the net during the regular 90 minutes plus stoppage time without considering extra time or penalties.
If Avai and Athletic Club Sjdr both score a goal in the Avai vs Athletic Club Sjdr Brasileiro Serie B match originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe both teams will score, the price will move accordingly, potentially offering value compared to sportsbook offerings. It's important to compare both to identify potential discrepancies and make informed bets.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of the event occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price fluctuates, providing a dynamic assessment of the likelihood of both Avai and Athletic Club scoring. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand within Kalshi.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether both Avai and Athletic Club score at least one goal during the match. Official match results from a recognized sporting authority will serve as the basis for determining the outcome of this market. The final price will reflect whether both teams scored or not, and traders will be paid out or required to cover their positions accordingly.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Avai or Athletic Club would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical approaches, or even weather conditions could also shift market sentiment. Unexpected lineup announcements or pre-match analysis suggesting a more offensive or defensive strategy could also move the price. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of both teams scoring will likely affect trading activity in this market.