TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$238,896,186
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,934,485
408,127
Markets across
39,552
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,429
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 04d:10h:03m
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This group forecasts the outcome of a Brasileiro Serie B soccer match between Avaí FC and São Bernardo FC scheduled for November 7, 2026. Markets exist for Avaí FC winning, São Bernardo FC winning, and the game ending in a draw. Resolution relies on official match statistics, with fallback sources specified.
This event is for the upcoming Brazil Serie B game, scheduled for Saturday, November 7, 2026 between Avaí FC and São Bernardo FC.
The markets resolve based on the result of the Avai vs Sao Bernardo professional Brasileiro Serie B soccer match scheduled for November 7, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the specified team wins the match within regular time. If the match ends in a tie after regular time, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform rules. Extra time and penalty shootouts do not affect market resolution, which depends strictly on the result after regular time.
Prediction market odds, like those found for this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the nature of how they are determined. Sportsbooks set odds based on their internal models and aim to profit by balancing risk, while prediction markets reflect the wisdom of the crowd. This means that prediction markets can sometimes offer more accurate probabilities, especially when there's a significant amount of volume traded. The current volume of $283 suggests growing interest in this event. Discrepancies can also arise from differing levels of information available to each and the incentives of participants.
Prices for this market may vary between Polymarket and Kalshi due to several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has its own user base, trading dynamics, and fee structures, all of which can influence price discovery. Furthermore, the liquidity on each platform – currently $283 total – can impact how quickly and efficiently information is incorporated into the odds. Differences in the types of traders participating on each platform, and their individual risk tolerances, can also contribute to price divergence. Finally, differing interpretations of available information about the Avaí FC vs. São Bernardo FC match can lead to varied assessments of probabilities.
This market is scheduled to resolve around Nov 7, 2026, following the completion of the Avaí FC vs. São Bernardo FC match. The outcome will be determined by the official result of the match, verified against credible public reporting. The final score and confirmed winner will be used to settle this market. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the event approaches. The current aggregated volume is $283, indicating active participation in forecasting the result.
Several signals could significantly impact this market before Nov 7, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, suspensions, or changes in team lineups for either Avaí FC or São Bernardo FC would likely cause movement. Unexpected changes in coaching strategies or tactical approaches could also influence predictions. Furthermore, broader sporting news, such as upsets in related matches or changes in overall team form, could affect market sentiment. A surge in volume – exceeding the current $283 – could also indicate a shift in expectations.