TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 4:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This group forecasts the outcome of a Brasileiro Serie B soccer match between Avaí FC and Botafogo FC scheduled for October 24, 2026. Markets exist for Avaí FC winning, Botafogo FC winning, and the game ending in a draw.
This event is for the upcoming Brazil Serie B game, scheduled for Saturday, October 24, 2026 between Avaí FC and Botafogo FC.
The event resolves based on the result of the Avai vs Botafogo professional Brasileiro Serie B soccer match scheduled for October 24, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Three possible outcomes are considered: Avai win, Botafogo win, or a tie. If the match concludes with either team winning within regular time, the respective market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie after regular time, the Tie market resolves to Yes. In the event the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The platform explicitly states it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds, like those displayed for this market, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a more accurate forecast than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and to balance their books, while prediction markets incentivize participants to accurately assess probabilities. This can lead to differences in pricing, especially as new information emerges. However, both serve as indicators of expected outcomes, and arbitrage opportunities may exist between them.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Differences in pricing between Polymarket and Kalshi on this market can arise from several factors. Each platform has its own user base, trading dynamics, and fee structures, which can influence price discovery. Furthermore, the liquidity and volume on each platform can vary, leading to discrepancies. While both platforms track the same underlying event—the Avaí vs. Botafogo match—the differing participant behavior and market conditions can result in distinct probabilities being reflected in the prices offered on each venue.