TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.7b

24H VOL:

$279,496,801

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,923,931,766

416,910

Markets across

40,107

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,571

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Avaí FC vs. Botafogo FC
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Avaí FC vs. Botafogo FC?

Volume:
$68,962

Botafogo

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 24, 2026

Closed: Oct 24, 4:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Botafogo

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$41,201
N/A
N/A
$30,105
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Botafogo FC

100%
72%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,837
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Avai

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13,664
N/A
N/A
$10,733
Settled
No
polymarket

Avaí FC

0%
41%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,209
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,173
N/A
N/A
$5,168
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Avaí FC vs. Botafogo FC)

0%
31%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$877
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of a Brasileiro Serie B soccer match between Avaí FC and Botafogo FC scheduled for October 24, 2026. Markets exist for Avaí FC winning, Botafogo FC winning, and the game ending in a draw.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms consistently define resolution based on the outcome of the match within 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with a shared fallback resolution procedure for cancellations and data availability.Primary resolution logic: Official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers (CBF), with fallback to Flashscore, Sofascore, or a consensus of credible reporting.

Core resolution logic:

  • The outcome is determined by the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
  • If the game is postponed, markets remain open until completion.
  • If the game is canceled entirely without a reschedule, Avaí/Botafogo win markets resolve to 'No', and the draw market resolves to 'Yes'.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Data Availability: If official statistics are unavailable within 2 hours of the event's conclusion, Flashscore data will be used. If Flashscore is unavailable, Sofascore will be used. If neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting will be used. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours, the market will resolve 50-50 or to 'Draw' where applicable.
  • Score Revisions: Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Timing: Resolution will occur within 24 hours of the match's conclusion, or sooner if official data is readily available.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Brazil Serie B game, scheduled for Saturday, October 24, 2026 between Avaí FC and Botafogo FC.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the result of the Avai vs Botafogo professional Brasileiro Serie B soccer match scheduled for October 24, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Three possible outcomes are considered: Avai win, Botafogo win, or a tie. If the match concludes with either team winning within regular time, the respective market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie after regular time, the Tie market resolves to Yes. In the event the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The platform explicitly states it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the consensus view on the outcome of the Avaí vs. Botafogo match. Currently, the aggregated volume across both platforms is $68,962, with $45,517 traded in the last 24 hours. Polymarket currently favors a particular outcome, while Kalshi presents a slightly different perspective. This allows for a comprehensive understanding of market sentiment regarding the match result. The dashboard aggregates data to provide a clear picture of where the crowd believes the most likely outcome lies for this event.

Prediction market odds, like those displayed for this market, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a more accurate forecast than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and to balance their books, while prediction markets incentivize participants to accurately assess probabilities. This can lead to differences in pricing, especially as new information emerges. However, both serve as indicators of expected outcomes, and arbitrage opportunities may exist between them.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Differences in pricing between Polymarket and Kalshi on this market can arise from several factors. Each platform has its own user base, trading dynamics, and fee structures, which can influence price discovery. Furthermore, the liquidity and volume on each platform can vary, leading to discrepancies. While both platforms track the same underlying event—the Avaí vs. Botafogo match—the differing participant behavior and market conditions can result in distinct probabilities being reflected in the prices offered on each venue.