TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 04d:17h:43m
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This group forecasts the outcome of a Ligue 1 soccer match between Auxerre and Paris FC scheduled for November 7, 2026. Markets exist for Auxerre winning, Paris FC winning, or the match ending in a draw, all determined after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
If Auxerre wins the Auxerre vs Paris FC professional Ligue 1 soccer game originally scheduled for Nov 7, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If Paris FC wins the Auxerre vs Paris FC professional Ligue 1 soccer game originally scheduled for Nov 7, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie is the result of the Auxerre vs Paris FC professional Ligue 1 soccer game originally scheduled for Nov 7, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
This market resolves to "YES" if the listed club wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts, in the match scheduled for November 7, 2026, 16:15 UTC. Otherwise, it will resolve to "NO." If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is not completed as scheduled for any reason (for example, if it is abandoned, canceled, or awarded), and an official final result is recognized by the governing body or event organizers, this market will resolve based on that result. If no official final result is recognized and no make-up match is scheduled, this market will resolve "NO." Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
This market refers to the Ligue 1 match between Auxerre (AUX) and Paris FC (PAR), scheduled for 2026-11-07 16:15 UTC. - AUX: If Auxerre wins, the outcome is settled as "Yes"; otherwise "No". - DRAW: If the match ends in a draw, the outcome is "Yes". - PAR: If Paris FC wins, the outcome is "Yes"; otherwise "No". Settlement will be based on the result at the end of regular time (90 minutes) plus stoppage time. If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match is played and completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, the DRAW option will resolve to "Yes", while both AUX and PAR options will resolve to "No". The primary settlement source will be the official result published by Ligue 1. If the governing body or event organizers have not published the final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus from credible sources may be used instead. Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution. Source: https://www.ligue1.com/
Kalshi and Opinion can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Kalshi and Opinion can diverge due to several factors, including differences in user base, trading volume, and market structure. Kalshi may attract more sophisticated traders or have a higher concentration of expertise on football, while Opinion might have a broader, less informed audience. Furthermore, the specific mechanisms for price discovery on each platform—order books versus automated market makers—can lead to different price movements. The current volume of $374 suggests active trading, but variations in participation across the two platforms contribute to the observed price discrepancies.
This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the Auxerre vs Paris FC match will be used to determine the winning outcome. The platform will rely on official sources to verify the final score and declare the winner, ensuring a transparent and accurate resolution process. Traders should monitor official announcements from sporting authorities for the most up-to-date information regarding the match and its result.
Several signals or events could significantly impact this market before Nov 8, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or shifts in player form could influence trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also play a role. Furthermore, major news events affecting the broader sports landscape or even the teams' parent organizations could introduce volatility. Monitoring these factors and assessing their potential impact on the match outcome is crucial for informed trading in this market.