TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 2:15 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in a specific soccer match between Auxerre and Le Mans. It evaluates whether the combined goals exceed various thresholds, providing insight into the potential scoring intensity of the game. The outcome depends solely on the final score after regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootout.
The event resolves based on whether the total goals scored by both Auxerre and Le Mans in their professional Ligue 1 soccer match scheduled for October 25, 2026, exceed specified thresholds. All markets resolve after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with extra time and penalty shootout goals excluded from consideration. Each market corresponds to a different threshold: 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, and 5.5 goals. If the actual total goals exceed the threshold specified in a market, that market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. The resolution is strictly tied to the official match result as recorded by the league, and Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the Governing League or ownership of associated trademarks, logos, and brand names.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for a profit margin, whereas this market is driven by traders directly expressing their beliefs about the likelihood of different outcomes. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously betting on both the prediction market and a sportsbook. However, it’s important to note that market efficiency varies, and these differences aren’t always present.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total goals scored in the Auxerre vs Le Mans match will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on official match data, ensuring an objective and transparent outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for the confirmed result after the match concludes to understand the final settlement of this market.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Auxerre or Le Mans would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect the style of play, could also shift expectations. Late-breaking team news, tactical adjustments announced by the managers, or even public sentiment shifts based on pre-match analysis could all contribute to volatility in this market leading up to the Oct 25, 2026 resolution.