TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 2:13 PM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional Ligue 1 soccer match between Auxerre and Le Mans. Bettors can speculate on whether Auxerre, Le Mans, or neither team (a tie) will win the match within the standard 90 minutes plus any added stoppage time. The resolution depends solely on the result of that specific game, with no consideration for extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Auxerre vs Le Mans professional Ligue 1 soccer match originally scheduled for October 25, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the specified team wins the match within regular time; a 'Tie' outcome occurs if the match ends level. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market resolves to a fair price. The markets are strictly limited to the regulation-time result and do not account for extra time, penalty kicks, or other post-regulation proceedings. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league or ownership of associated trademarks.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which are typically set by a smaller number of professionals. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting percentages and risk management strategies, while this market relies on individuals forecasting the outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Examining these differences can reveal insights into where the crowd believes the value lies compared to traditional oddsmakers.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Auxerre vs Le Mans match. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher its contract price will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing allows for real-time adjustments based on new information and changing sentiment, creating a fluid and responsive market.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Auxerre vs Le Mans match, as officially recorded, will determine the winning contract. The resolution process relies on publicly available data to ensure an objective and transparent outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for the match result to understand when and how this market will be settled.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market leading up to Oct 25, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team formations, or changes in coaching staff for either Auxerre or Le Mans could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also play a role. Furthermore, general football news, analysis from sports commentators, and even large individual trades on Kalshi can all contribute to price movements and increased volume as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions.