TOTAL VOLUME:

$61.6b

24H VOL:

$215,176,776

24H TRANSACTIONS:

595,647,402

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,321,740,341

576,656

Markets across

14,624

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,045

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

50%

VS.

Kalshi:

50%

BETA
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade

Intro

This market tracks whether Austria will defeat Jordan in their FIFA World Cup soccer match scheduled for June 17, 2026, decided over 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The aggregated consensus across Kalshi, Polymarket, Limitless, and Predict shows Austria at 73.0% to win. Resolution will be determined by the official result of the professional match as played on the scheduled date. Watch for team news and lineup announcements in the days leading up to the June 17, 2026 kickoff, as injuries or tactical changes could shift market expectations.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue:

Date mismatch between platforms (June 16 vs June 17) and inconsistent cancellation resolution logic across draw and win markets.

Hero Tip:

Confirm the official FIFA World Cup 2026 match schedule immediately. If the match is canceled, Polymarket's draw market resolves YES while win markets resolve NO, creating potential value misalignment. Consider the resolution deadline difference: Limitless allows until July 16, 2026 04:00 UTC, while other platforms do not specify a hard deadline.

Critical Divergence Points:

  • Limitless:

    Match scheduled June 16, 2026. Draw market resolves YES if match is not completed with official result by July 16, 2026, 04:00 UTC. Austria/Jordan win markets resolve NO if match not completed by deadline. Key quote: 'If the club does not win or if the match is not completed with an official result by July 16, 2026, 04:00 UTC, the market will resolve to NO.'
  • Kalshi:

    Match scheduled June 17, 2026 (one day later than Limitless). Markets resolve YES for any outcome (Austria win, Jordan win, or tie) if that outcome occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation or deadline clause provided. Key quote: 'If [outcome] wins the Austria vs Jordan professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 17, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, then the market resolves to Yes.'
  • Polymarket:

    Match scheduled June 17, 2026. Draw market resolves YES if game ends in draw OR if canceled with no make-up game. Austria/Jordan win markets resolve NO if canceled with no make-up game. Resolution source: official FIFA statistics or credible reporting consensus within 2 hours of conclusion. Key quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to Yes' (draw) vs 'this market will resolve No' (win markets).
  • Predict:

    Match scheduled June 17, 2026. Draw market resolves YES if game ends in draw OR if canceled with no make-up game. Austria/Jordan win markets resolve NO if canceled with no make-up game. Resolution source: official FIFA statistics or credible reporting consensus within 2 hours of conclusion. Key quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to Yes' (draw) vs 'this market will resolve No' (win markets).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Frequently asked questions

The Austria vs Jordan dashboard aggregates real-time odds and trading activity across Kalshi and Limitless, two leading decentralized prediction markets. It displays the consensus probability for each outcome, current bid-ask spreads, and cumulative trading volume across both platforms. The dashboard tracks $152,141 in total group volume, with $39,229 traded in the last 24 hours. By monitoring multiple venues simultaneously, traders gain a comprehensive view of market sentiment and can identify arbitrage opportunities or platform-specific pricing inefficiencies for this international football fixture.

Prediction markets like Kalshi and Limitless operate independently from traditional sportsbooks, often reflecting different liquidity pools, user bases, and risk profiles. Prediction market odds tend to be more efficient in real time because they aggregate decentralized trader sentiment without the margin built into sportsbook pricing. However, sportsbooks may offer tighter spreads and faster settlement in some cases. For the Austria vs Jordan match, comparing prediction market consensus odds to major sportsbook lines can reveal whether the crowd-sourced market view diverges from professional oddsmakers, signaling potential value or consensus shifts.

Kalshi and Limitless can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform operates with distinct user demographics, liquidity depths, and fee structures. Kalshi currently shows for the top outcome, while Limitless reflects , a spread of percentage points. These differences arise from varying order flow timing, withdrawal policies, and market-maker participation. Traders may also have platform preferences based on regulatory access or interface familiarity. Arbitrage traders exploit these gaps, though transaction costs and liquidity constraints often prevent full convergence. Monitoring both platforms helps identify when one venue is pricing Austria vs Jordan more favorably than the other.

The Austria vs Jordan market resolves on Jun 18, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official result of the match as recorded by recognized sports authorities. The outcome typically hinges on the final score and whether the match ends in regulation, extra time, or a penalty shootout, depending on the specific market contract terms. Traders should verify the exact resolution criteria on their chosen platform before placing positions, as different venues may define outcomes slightly differently. Once the match concludes and the official result is confirmed, the market settles and winnings are distributed to holders of the correct outcome.

Key catalysts for Austria vs Jordan odds movement include team news such as injuries to star players, lineup announcements, and recent form in qualifying matches. Betting syndicates and sharp money often move odds hours before kickoff as they deploy capital. Weather conditions at the venue, home-field advantage sentiment, and historical head-to-head records can also shift trader positioning. Major sports media coverage or unexpected roster changes may trigger rapid repricing across Kalshi and Limitless. As Jun 18, 2026 approaches, late-arriving information and final team confirmations typically drive the most volatile price swings, so monitoring news feeds and platform activity is essential for active traders.

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PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.15.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.