TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 20, 8:40 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Australia will win its upcoming Twenty20 cricket match against New Zealand. Currently, the probability of Australia winning on Kalshi is 90.0%, while New Zealand winning is at 11.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the Australia vs New Zealand women's professional New Zealand Women Tour of Australia T20s cricket match, as determined by official results. Keep an eye on October 20, 2026, as this is the scheduled date for the match and the end of the betting period for this market.
The event resolves based on the official winner of the Australia vs New Zealand women's professional T20 cricket match scheduled for October 20, 2026, at 4:15 AM EDT. If either team wins, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie, draw, no result, abandonment, cancellation, or insufficient play to determine a winner, all markets resolve to $0.50. Forfeits, disqualifications, or concessions before the match begins also result in $0.50; if they occur after play starts and the governing body declares a winner, the market resolves based on that declaration.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a broader range of information and participant perspectives than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates the wisdom of the crowd. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions on team form, potential injuries, or even external factors influencing the game. If significant differences exist, opportunities for arbitrage may emerge, where traders can profit by simultaneously betting on both platforms.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect new information and changing sentiment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and order flow indicate the level of conviction behind each potential result, offering a dynamic view of expectations surrounding the Australia vs New Zealand match.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Australia vs New Zealand match as declared by the governing sporting body. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual match result. Traders holding contracts on the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on losing outcomes will not.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either the Australian or New Zealand team would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favoring one team over the other, could also influence trading activity. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or coaching decisions might also move the market. Finally, general shifts in public sentiment, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, could contribute to price changes before Oct 20, 2026.