TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$185,665,189
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,833,875,329
407,365
Markets across
40,470
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,365
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 9, 5:30 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Australia will win its upcoming women’s One Day International cricket match against Bangladesh as part of the Bangladesh Women Tour of Australia ODIs. Currently, the probability of Australia winning on Kalshi is 99.0%, while Bangladesh winning is at 1.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the match originally scheduled for Oct 8, 2026 at 11:50 PM EDT, as determined by the match result. Keep an eye on the match itself, as the resolution of this market is tied to the completion of play on or around the estimated resolution date of 2026-10-09.
The market resolves based on the official result of the women's One Day International cricket match between Australia and Bangladesh scheduled for October 8, 2026. If either team wins the match outright, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. In cases of a tie, draw, no result, abandonment, cancellation, or insufficient play to determine a winner, all markets resolve to $0.50. If a forfeit, disqualification, or concession occurs before the match begins, markets also resolve to $0.50. However, if such an event occurs after play has started and the governing body declares an official winner, the market will resolve based on that declared result. The outcome is strictly contingent upon the official declaration by the governing cricket body, with no affiliation or endorsement implied by the platform hosting the market.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and risk management, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the same data. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts leading up to the event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform’s mechanism ensures that prices remain competitive and responsive to new information, offering a dynamic view of expectations for the Australia vs Bangladesh match. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate assessments, as profitable predictions yield financial gains.
This market resolves around Oct 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Australia vs Bangladesh match as declared by the governing sporting body. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to determine which outcome is the winner. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on losing outcomes will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to Oct 9, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, weather conditions, or significant performance shifts in recent matches could all impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements, such as changes to the match venue or schedule, could also trigger price movements. Furthermore, large-volume trades from informed participants or shifts in broader public opinion regarding the teams’ chances of winning could all contribute to volatility in this market.