TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$228,458,490

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,879,276,037

410,833

Markets across

40,345

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,363

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Auston Matthews's Next Team
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Auston Matthews's Next Team

Volume:
$36,962

Stays with Toronto Maple Leafs or retires

 - Kalshi

Stays with Toronto Maple Leafs or retires - Kalshi

1W

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Positive

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Vol.

·

Resolved Nov 1, 2026

Closed: Nov 1, 12:59 AM EST

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Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Stays with Toronto Maple Leafs or retires

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$18,749
N/A
N/A
$12,825
Settled
Yes
kalshi

St. Louis Blues

0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,088
N/A
N/A
$3,034
Settled
No
kalshi

Los Angeles Kings

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,695
N/A
N/A
$1,842
Settled
No
kalshi

Boston Bruins

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,533
N/A
N/A
$1,530
Settled
No
kalshi

Minnesota Wild

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,520
N/A
N/A
$1,520
Settled
No
kalshi

Utah Mammoth

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,489
N/A
N/A
$1,323
Settled
No
kalshi

San Jose Sharks

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,089
N/A
N/A
$1,089
Settled
No
kalshi

Philadelphia Flyers

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$756
N/A
N/A
$756
Settled
No
kalshi

Carolina Hurricanes

0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$711
N/A
N/A
$691
Settled
No
kalshi

Anaheim Ducks

0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$689
N/A
N/A
$668
Settled
No
kalshi

Detroit Red Wings

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$651
N/A
N/A
$557
Settled
No
kalshi

Tampa Bay Lightning

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$637
N/A
N/A
$637
Settled
No
kalshi

Columbus Blue Jackets

0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$492
N/A
N/A
$491
Settled
No
kalshi

Buffalo Sabres

0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$433
N/A
N/A
$433
Settled
No
kalshi

Pittsburgh Penguins

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$244
N/A
N/A
$244
Settled
No
kalshi

Washington Capitals

0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$218
N/A
N/A
$218
Settled
No
kalshi

New Jersey Devils

0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$189
N/A
N/A
$189
Settled
No
kalshi

Chicago Blackhawks

0%
14%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$186
N/A
N/A
$186
Settled
No
kalshi

Dallas Stars

0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$184
N/A
N/A
$184
Settled
No
kalshi

Montreal Canadiens

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$166
N/A
N/A
$166
Settled
No
kalshi

Florida Panthers

0%
14%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$74
N/A
N/A
$74
Settled
No
kalshi

Nashville Predators

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$62
N/A
N/A
$62
Settled
No
kalshi

Calgary Flames

0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$57
N/A
N/A
$57
Settled
No
kalshi

Vegas Golden Knights

0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$38
N/A
N/A
$38
Settled
No
kalshi

Colorado Avalanche

0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12
N/A
N/A
$12
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 32

Intro

This market tracks whether Auston Matthews will be traded to the Buffalo Sabres or remain with his current team by early November 2026. On Kalshi, the Buffalo Sabres outcome is priced at 75.0%, while Matthews staying with Toronto is at 18.0%. Resolution is determined by official NHL transaction records and team rosters as of November 1, 2026. Watch for trade deadline activity and any contract extension announcements from the Maple Leafs, as these signals typically emerge in the months leading up to the November 2026 resolution date.

Kalshi

If Auston Matthews's next team is the Anaheim Ducks before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Auston Matthews's next team is the Boston Bruins before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Auston Matthews's next team is the Buffalo Sabres before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Auston Matthews's next team is the Carolina Hurricanes before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Auston Matthews's next team is the Columbus Blue Jackets before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Auston Matthews's next team is the Calgary Flames before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Auston Matthews's next team is the Chicago Blackhawks before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Auston Matthews's next team is the Colorado Avalanche before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Auston Matthews's next team is the Dallas Stars before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Auston Matthews's next team is the Detroit Red Wings before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Auston Matthews's next team is the Edmonton Oilers before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Auston Matthews's next team is the Florida Panthers before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Auston Matthews's next team is the Los Angeles Kings before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Auston Matthews's next team is the Minnesota Wild before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Auston Matthews's next team is the Montreal Canadiens before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Auston Matthews's next team is the New Jersey Devils before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Auston Matthews's next team is the Nashville Predators before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Auston Matthews's next team is the New York Islanders before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Auston Matthews's next team is the New York Rangers before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Auston Matthews's next team is the Ottawa Senators before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Auston Matthews's next team is the Philadelphia Flyers before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Auston Matthews's next team is the Pittsburgh Penguins before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Auston Matthews's next team is the Seattle Kraken before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Auston Matthews's next team is the San Jose Sharks before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Auston Matthews's next team is the St. Louis Blues before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Auston Matthews's next team is the Tampa Bay Lightning before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Auston Matthews's next team is the Stays with Toronto Maple Leafs or retires before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Auston Matthews's next team is the Utah Mammoth before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Auston Matthews's next team is the Vancouver Canucks before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Auston Matthews's next team is the Vegas Golden Knights before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Auston Matthews's next team is the Winnipeg Jets before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Auston Matthews's next team is the Washington Capitals before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Auston Matthews next team market tracks the current odds for each potential team, displaying the implied probability of each outcome. You can also view the price history of the market, allowing you to see how sentiment has shifted over time. Additionally, the dashboard shows the 24-hour trading volume, which currently stands at $41, and the total volume traded to date, which is $36,962. This provides a clear picture of market activity and where traders are placing their bets regarding where Auston Matthews will play next.

Often, prediction market odds, like those found in this market, can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks typically set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the future. If sportsbook odds significantly disagree with the probabilities implied by this market, opportunities may arise for arbitrage, where traders can profit by betting on both venues. However, it’s important to remember that both represent different perspectives on the likelihood of various outcomes.

This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the team that Auston Matthews officially signs with for the 2026-2027 NHL season, as determined by official announcements from the NHL or the relevant teams. Any potential trades, contract extensions, or other developments leading up to the start of the season will influence the market, but the official signing determines the final result. The market will close prior to this date to allow for accurate settlement.

Several signals could significantly impact this market. Major events like the NHL draft, free agency periods, and potential trades involving Auston Matthews are key catalysts. News regarding his contract negotiations with his current team, or reports of interest from other franchises, will also drive price movements. Unexpected injuries to key players on contending teams, or changes in coaching staff, could also influence the perceived likelihood of different teams acquiring him. Any public statements from Matthews himself or team executives could also have a substantial effect on the market.