TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 1, 12:59 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Auston Matthews will be traded to the Buffalo Sabres or remain with his current team by early November 2026. On Kalshi, the Buffalo Sabres outcome is priced at 75.0%, while Matthews staying with Toronto is at 18.0%. Resolution is determined by official NHL transaction records and team rosters as of November 1, 2026. Watch for trade deadline activity and any contract extension announcements from the Maple Leafs, as these signals typically emerge in the months leading up to the November 2026 resolution date.
If Auston Matthews's next team is the Anaheim Ducks before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Auston Matthews's next team is the Boston Bruins before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Auston Matthews's next team is the Buffalo Sabres before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Auston Matthews's next team is the Carolina Hurricanes before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Auston Matthews's next team is the Columbus Blue Jackets before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Auston Matthews's next team is the Calgary Flames before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Auston Matthews's next team is the Chicago Blackhawks before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Auston Matthews's next team is the Colorado Avalanche before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Auston Matthews's next team is the Dallas Stars before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Auston Matthews's next team is the Detroit Red Wings before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Auston Matthews's next team is the Edmonton Oilers before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Auston Matthews's next team is the Florida Panthers before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Auston Matthews's next team is the Los Angeles Kings before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Auston Matthews's next team is the Minnesota Wild before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Auston Matthews's next team is the Montreal Canadiens before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Auston Matthews's next team is the New Jersey Devils before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Auston Matthews's next team is the Nashville Predators before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Auston Matthews's next team is the New York Islanders before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Auston Matthews's next team is the New York Rangers before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Auston Matthews's next team is the Ottawa Senators before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Auston Matthews's next team is the Philadelphia Flyers before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Auston Matthews's next team is the Pittsburgh Penguins before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Auston Matthews's next team is the Seattle Kraken before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Auston Matthews's next team is the San Jose Sharks before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Auston Matthews's next team is the St. Louis Blues before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Auston Matthews's next team is the Tampa Bay Lightning before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Auston Matthews's next team is the Stays with Toronto Maple Leafs or retires before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Auston Matthews's next team is the Utah Mammoth before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Auston Matthews's next team is the Vancouver Canucks before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Auston Matthews's next team is the Vegas Golden Knights before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Auston Matthews's next team is the Winnipeg Jets before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Auston Matthews's next team is the Washington Capitals before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Often, prediction market odds, like those found in this market, can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks typically set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the future. If sportsbook odds significantly disagree with the probabilities implied by this market, opportunities may arise for arbitrage, where traders can profit by betting on both venues. However, it’s important to remember that both represent different perspectives on the likelihood of various outcomes.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the team that Auston Matthews officially signs with for the 2026-2027 NHL season, as determined by official announcements from the NHL or the relevant teams. Any potential trades, contract extensions, or other developments leading up to the start of the season will influence the market, but the official signing determines the final result. The market will close prior to this date to allow for accurate settlement.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Major events like the NHL draft, free agency periods, and potential trades involving Auston Matthews are key catalysts. News regarding his contract negotiations with his current team, or reports of interest from other franchises, will also drive price movements. Unexpected injuries to key players on contending teams, or changes in coaching staff, could also influence the perceived likelihood of different teams acquiring him. Any public statements from Matthews himself or team executives could also have a substantial effect on the market.