TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 10:36 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets evaluates how many goals will be scored in an upcoming professional MLS soccer match between Austin and Vancouver. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of total goals, allowing participants to assess the likelihood of various scoring outcomes. The resolution depends solely on the official match result after regular time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks.
All markets resolve based on the total number of goals scored in the Austin vs Vancouver professional MLS soccer game scheduled for October 17, 2026, counted after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time, but explicitly excluding any goals scored during extra time or penalty shootouts. Each market has a specific numerical threshold: 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 goals. If the actual total goals exceed the respective threshold for a given market, that market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. All markets share identical resolution timing and scope, differing only in their goal-count thresholds. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals freely trading contracts, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities, especially as more information becomes available. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions on team form, injuries, or even weather conditions, offering opportunities for arbitrage if significant differences emerge.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of expectations for the Austin vs Vancouver match. The market depth shows the available liquidity at various price points, influencing how easily orders can be filled.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final total goals scored in the Austin vs Vancouver match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the league or governing body responsible for the game. The market will determine which contract – representing a specific total goals range – corresponds to the actual result. All outstanding contracts will then be settled accordingly, paying out $1.00 for winning contracts and $0.00 for losing ones.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Austin or Vancouver would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if conditions are expected to be unfavorable for scoring, could also shift expectations. Additionally, any pre-match analysis highlighting tactical approaches or potential scoring opportunities could sway trader sentiment. Even significant shifts in public opinion, reflected in polls or social media, could contribute to price fluctuations before Oct 18, 2026.