TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$290,393,159

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,944,100,805

420,493

Markets across

40,511

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Austin vs Vancouver: Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Austin vs Vancouver?

Volume:
$131,726

Vancouver wins by more than 1.5 goals

 - Kalshi

Vancouver wins by more than 1.5 goals - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 17, 2026

Closed: Oct 17, 10:38 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Vancouver wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
0%
35%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$92,241
N/A
N/A
$73,161
Settled
No
kalshi

Austin wins by more than 1.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20,066
N/A
N/A
$17,842
Settled
No
kalshi

Vancouver wins by more than 2.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,676
N/A
N/A
$7,476
Settled
No
kalshi

Austin wins by more than 2.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,348
N/A
N/A
$4,348
Settled
No
kalshi

Vancouver wins by more than 3.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,395
N/A
N/A
$2,395
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This event tracks the outcome of an MLS soccer match between Austin and Vancouver, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. It considers different thresholds for goal differences to determine the result. The resolution depends solely on the final score after regular time, excluding extra periods or penalty kicks.

Kalshi

The event evaluates various goal-difference thresholds to determine outcomes for the Austin versus Vancouver MLS match scheduled for October 17, 2026. Four distinct conditions are defined: Austin must win by more than 2.5 goals, Austin must win by more than 1.5 goals, Vancouver must win by more than 1.5 goals, or Vancouver must win by more than 2.5 goals. All assessments are based exclusively on the score after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time, with no consideration given to extra time or penalty shootouts. The event operates independently of official league affiliations, and all associated trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Austin vs Vancouver spread tracks the current price of the spread, the 24-hour trading volume of $131,269, and the total volume traded to date, which is currently $131,726. You can also view the price history to see how the market has moved over time. This allows users to gauge the collective prediction of the crowd regarding the point differential in the upcoming game between Austin and Vancouver. The dashboard provides a real-time view into how traders are positioning themselves on this particular matchup.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect a different set of information and incentives than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the aggregated beliefs of informed traders. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. While sportsbooks may initially be influenced by expert analysis, this market can quickly adapt to incorporate a wider range of data and perspectives, potentially offering a more accurate forecast of the game’s outcome.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the Austin vs Vancouver spread. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as they profit if their beliefs align with the eventual outcome. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust its predictions accordingly, resulting in a constantly evolving assessment of the likely point differential.

This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the Austin vs Vancouver game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result published by the relevant sporting authority. Traders holding contracts on the correct spread will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect spreads will not. The platform will verify the result and distribute payouts accordingly, ensuring a transparent and reliable resolution process.

Several factors could influence the Austin vs Vancouver spread between now and Oct 18, 2026. Any significant news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected team performance in preceding games could all cause the market to shift. Weather forecasts, particularly if they predict conditions that favor one team’s playing style, could also play a role. Furthermore, large volume trades on Kalshi from well-informed traders could indicate a change in sentiment and trigger further price movements in this market.