TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 10:02 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether Austin and Vancouver each score a goal during their MLS encounter on October 17, counting goals scored within the 90 minutes plus stoppage time, but not including goals from extra time or penalty shootouts.
If Austin and Vancouver both score a goal in the Austin vs Vancouver MLS match originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to be more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, as they reflect the wisdom of the crowd and are continuously updated based on real money at risk. However, sportsbook odds often set the initial baseline for public perception. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions on team form, potential injuries, or even weather conditions. It’s common to see this market adjust rapidly following significant news events or late-breaking information that impacts the perceived likelihood of both teams scoring.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing 'Yes' or 'No' outcomes for both teams to score. The price of these contracts directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders believe both teams will score, the price of the 'Yes' contract will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective intelligence of participants.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether both Austin and Vancouver score at least one goal during the match. Official match data will be used to determine if both teams found the back of the net. The result will be based on the final scoreline, and any potential extra time or penalty shootouts will not be considered for this particular market.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Austin or Vancouver would likely cause movement. Changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a recent match, could also shift trader sentiment. Tactical changes announced by either manager, particularly those impacting attacking lineups, could also play a role. Even weather forecasts predicting heavy rain or strong winds might influence expectations about scoring opportunities and move this market.