TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 10:36 PM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional MLS soccer match between Austin and Vancouver, scheduled for October 17, 2026. Participants can bet on whether a specific team will win or if the game will end in a tie within the regular time frame. The resolution depends solely on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The markets resolve based on the result of the Austin vs Vancouver professional MLS soccer game scheduled for October 17, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. A 'Yes' outcome for either team market occurs only if that team secures a win within regular time. If the match concludes in a tie during this period, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' Should the game be canceled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined per the platform’s guidelines. The markets strictly reflect regular-time results and bear no connection to the official league or its affiliations.
Prediction market odds often differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks, reflecting the wisdom of the crowd versus the assessments of professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks typically set initial lines to balance action on both sides, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, risk assessments, and the influence of public opinion. It’s common to see this market adjust more dynamically to new information than sportsbook odds, especially as the event approaches.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing potential outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s collective probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy into a particular outcome, its price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading activity influence the bid-ask spread, providing information about the liquidity and uncertainty surrounding the event. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the outcome and capitalizing on price discrepancies.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Austin vs Vancouver match as reported by the governing sports organization. The platform will verify the result against reliable sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on the incorrect outcome will forfeit their investment. The final outcome will be clearly displayed on Kalshi.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team strategy, or weather conditions impacting the match could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements related to the teams or the event itself would also likely cause price fluctuations. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed traders could indicate new information or a change in expectations. Monitoring these signals and analyzing the trading activity on Kalshi can provide valuable insights into the potential direction of this market.