TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 10:38 PM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional MLS soccer match between Austin and Salt Lake, scheduled for October 28, 2026. Participants can speculate on whether either team will secure a victory or if the game will conclude in a draw within the standard 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
The markets resolve based on the result of the Austin vs Salt Lake professional MLS soccer game scheduled for October 28, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. A 'Yes' outcome for either Austin or Salt Lake markets occurs if the respective team wins the match within regulation time. The 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes' if the game ends in a draw after regulation. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform rules. The resolution strictly considers the result after regular time and stoppage minutes, with no account for extended play or penalty shootouts.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which may be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks typically set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs. Therefore, discrepancies can emerge as new information becomes available or as public sentiment shifts. It’s common to see prediction markets react more quickly to unexpected news or developments than traditional sportsbooks.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time indication of expectations. The market’s depth—the volume of buy and sell orders at various price levels—indicates how confident traders are in their predictions.
This market resolves around Oct 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Austin vs Salt Lake match as reported by a trusted source. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution, while those who bet on the losing outcome will forfeit their stake. It's important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches.
Several signals could significantly move this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team strategy, or unexpected weather conditions could influence trader sentiment. Major upsets in other related matches or shifts in public opinion, as reflected in polls or media coverage, could also cause price fluctuations. Furthermore, significant trading volume from informed participants could indicate new information or a change in expectations, leading to rapid adjustments in the market's pricing.