TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 10:28 PM EST
Polymarket
This group covers various markets related to the college football game between Austin Peay and North Alabama on October 24th. Markets include the winner of the game, the point spread, and the over/under total points scored. These markets allow users to predict specific outcomes of the game.
In the upcoming college football game between Austin Peay and North Alabama, scheduled for October 24 at 7:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Austin Peay" if Austin Peay win the game. This market will resolve to "North Alabama" if North Alabama win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
In the upcoming college football game between Austin Peay and North Alabama, scheduled for October 24 at 7:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Austin Peay" if Austin Peay win the game. This market will resolve to "North Alabama" if North Alabama win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Prediction market odds, like those found for this market, often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while prediction markets allow anyone to express their belief, creating a more dynamic and potentially accurate forecast. This can lead to discrepancies, as prediction markets may incorporate information not fully reflected in sportsbook odds. However, both serve as indicators of perceived probability, and comparing them can be a valuable exercise for informed decision-making.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Predict can diverge due to several factors. Differences in user base, trading activity, and market-making strategies all contribute to price discrepancies. Polymarket may attract a different class of trader than Predict, leading to varying levels of conviction in certain outcomes. Furthermore, the liquidity available on each platform can impact price discovery. Even with the same underlying event, these factors can result in differing probabilities being reflected in the prices offered on each platform for the Austin Peay vs. North Alabama game.