TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 10:59 PM EST
Polymarket
This group contains a comprehensive set of markets related to the Austin FC vs. Real Salt Lake MLS game on October 28th. Markets include spreads, over/under goals, and both teams to score, covering both the full game and the first half.
More markets for the MLS game, scheduled for October 28 at 8:30 PM ET.
More markets for the MLS game, scheduled for October 28 at 8:30 PM ET.
Prediction market odds, like those found for this market, often differ from traditional sportsbooks due to the nature of how they are created. Sportsbooks set odds based on models and perceived risk, while prediction markets rely on the collective intelligence of traders who buy and sell contracts based on their beliefs. This can lead to more accurate probabilities, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available. The volume of $95,022 traded on this event suggests significant interest and potentially a more refined forecast than initial sportsbook lines.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices for this market on Polymarket and Predict can diverge due to differing user bases, trading activity, and risk assessments. Polymarket may attract a different type of trader than Predict, leading to variations in how they value the same outcome. Furthermore, the liquidity and volume on each platform can influence price discovery. For example, if there's significantly more trading volume on Polymarket, its prices might be more responsive to new information or shifts in sentiment. These factors contribute to the dynamic pricing observed across different prediction market platforms for the Austin FC vs. Real Salt Lake match.