TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 10:30 PM EST
Predict
More markets for the MLS game, scheduled for October 10 at 8:30 PM ET.
More markets for the MLS game, scheduled for October 10 at 8:30 PM ET.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, which represents their profit margin. This market, driven by the collective wisdom of traders on Predict, aims to reflect the true probability of an outcome, though biases can still exist. While sportsbooks may adjust odds based on betting patterns and expert analysis, this market is directly influenced by individuals willing to put their money behind their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially as new information emerges.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand; if more people believe an outcome is likely, they will buy contracts, driving up the price, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures the market constantly reflects the latest insights.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Austin FC vs. Nashville SC match. Any official postponement or cancellation of the match will affect the resolution timeline, but the outcome will be determined by the final, official result when the game is completed. Traders should monitor official sources for updates on the match status and resolution timing.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either Austin FC or Nashville SC would likely impact the odds. Changes in team form, such as recent wins or losses, will also be factored in by traders. Unexpected weather conditions on game day could also influence the market, as could any pre-game announcements about tactical changes or starting lineups. Major shifts in public sentiment, even those not directly related to team performance, can sometimes cause price fluctuations in this market.