TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 12:23 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in a professional Bundesliga soccer match between Augsburg and Freiburg. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed specific thresholds. It reflects the offensive performance of both teams within the standard match duration.
The event resolves based on the total number of goals scored during the Augsburg vs Freiburg professional Bundesliga soccer match scheduled for October 31, 2026. All markets resolve after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of total goals: 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, and 5.5. If the actual number of goals exceeds the specified threshold for a given market, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. All markets are independent, and each has its own resolution criterion based on the respective goal total threshold. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the Governing League, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction markets like Kalshi often reflect information and insights different from those priced into traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. You may find that this market’s implied probabilities diverge from sportsbook lines, particularly as new information emerges or public opinion shifts. Discrepancies can arise due to differing analytical approaches, the influence of public bias, and the dynamic nature of trading activity.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes in the Augsburg vs Freiburg match. The price of each contract reflects the market's current expectation of that outcome's probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders adjust their bids and asks based on their own analysis, news updates, and perceived value, leading to price fluctuations. As more traders participate, the market price tends to converge towards a collective assessment of the likely outcome, making it a valuable indicator of potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the total goals scored in the Augsburg vs Freiburg match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score, as reported by official sources, will determine the winning contract. Resolution relies on publicly available, independently verified data to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected in their account balances shortly after the match concludes and the official score is confirmed.
Several factors could influence trading activity and move this market before resolution. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Augsburg or Freiburg would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could affect the style of play and goal-scoring potential. Unexpected lineup announcements or tactical shifts revealed before kickoff could also cause price adjustments. Even public sentiment, reflected in pre-match analysis and social media discussions, can contribute to shifts in the market as traders react to new information.