TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 11:36 AM EST
Kalshi
In the matchup between Augsburg and Bayern Munich on October 10, 2026, the event checks if both clubs score a goal during the regular 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with the outcome unaffected by any goals scored during extra time or penalty phases.
If Augsburg and Bayern Munich both score a goal in the Augsburg vs Bayern Munich Bundesliga match originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines which can be influenced by factors like public perception or promotional offers. Sportsbooks often set initial odds to balance their risk, while this market allows traders to freely adjust probabilities based on their own analysis. Over time, prediction market prices tend to become more efficient as more information becomes available and more traders participate. It's common to see this market converge with sportsbook odds closer to the event start, though discrepancies can still occur due to differing opinions and risk assessments.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of 'Both Teams To Score' in the Bayern Munich vs Augsburg match. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability of the event occurring. As more traders buy contracts, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived chance of both teams scoring. Conversely, selling contracts drives the price down. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the collective belief of all participants trading on Kalshi.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, following the completion of the Bayern Munich vs Augsburg match. The outcome will be determined by whether both teams score at least one goal during regular play. The result will be verified against credible public reporting from official sports sources. Any goals scored during extra time or penalty shootouts will not be considered for the purposes of this market. The final scoreline will be the definitive factor in determining whether the 'Yes' or 'No' outcome prevails.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 10, 2026. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Bayern Munich or Augsburg would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect the style of play, could also move the market. Additionally, any significant shifts in public opinion, perhaps driven by expert analysis or betting trends, could lead to increased trading volume and price fluctuations. Team form and recent performance in similar matches are also key signals traders will be watching.