TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$172,394,893
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,821,572,886
404,136
Markets across
40,075
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,369
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 11:28 AM EST
Kalshi
This group forecasts the outcome of a Serie C soccer match between Audace Cerignola and Catania FC on October 31, 2026. Markets exist for each team winning and for the game ending in a draw, all determined by the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
This event is for the upcoming Serie C game, scheduled for Saturday, October 31, 2026 between Audace Cerignola and Catania FC.
The event encompasses three distinct markets—Cerignola, Catania, and Tie—all tied to the same professional Serie C soccer match originally scheduled for October 31, 2026. Each market resolves based on the match outcome after 90 minutes of play plus stoppage time, explicitly excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. If Cerignola secures a win within regular time, the Cerignola market resolves positively; if Catania achieves the win, its market resolves positively. Should the match conclude in a tie after regular time, the Tie market resolves positively. In the event the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. The rules emphasize that Kalshi holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi for the Cerignola vs. Catania match, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the wisdom of the crowd and the incentive structure. Sportsbooks set odds to maximize profit, incorporating a margin, while prediction markets allow traders to directly express their beliefs. This market benefits from a diverse range of opinions and the ability for participants to adjust their positions as new information emerges. Consequently, prediction markets can sometimes offer more accurate probabilities, especially when there's significant public interest and informed trading activity.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi for the Cerignola vs. Catania match may diverge due to several factors. These platforms have different user bases, trading interfaces, and fee structures, all of which can influence price discovery. Additionally, the volume traded on each platform can vary, leading to discrepancies in liquidity and price sensitivity. Different interpretations of available information, such as team news or player form, among traders on each platform can also contribute to price divergence. It’s common to see these differences even when tracking the same underlying event.