TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$230,589,906

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,885,293,300

410,482

Markets across

40,213

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,340

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Auckland FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Auckland FC vs Wellington Phoenix FC?

Total volume:
$212
Volume 24h:
$73
73%
Liquidity:
$7,496
6%
Open interest:
$142
2%

Auckland

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 7, 2026

Time left: 04d:08h:04m

Auckland wins

42%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 44¢ buys you 227 shares | Odds: 42% Total Payout: $227 | Net Profit: $127 Multiplier: 2.27x | ROI: 127% APY not meaningful 4 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Auckland

Trade
42%
Yes 44¢No 58¢
2¢
N/A
$109
63%
N/A
$67
4d 8h 4m
Active
polymarket

Auckland FC

Trade
44%
1%
Yes 44¢No 57¢
1¢
$2,523
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 5h 4m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
42%
Yes 44¢No 58¢
Avg: 1.5¢Max: 2¢
kalshi

Wellington

Trade
27%
Yes 30¢No 73¢
3¢
N/A
$103
42%
N/A
$75
4d 8h 4m
Active
polymarket

Wellington Phoenix FC

Trade
30%
Yes 31¢No 71¢
2¢
$2,411
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 5h 4m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
27%
Yes 30¢No 73¢
Avg: 2.5¢Max: 3¢
polymarket

Draw (Auckland FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC)

Trade
26%
Yes 27¢No 75¢
2¢
$2,562
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 5h 4m
Active
kalshi

Tie

Trade
N/A
N/A
2¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
4d 8h 4m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 2¢Max: 2¢
Total markets: 6

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of a soccer match between Auckland FC and Wellington Phoenix FC, scheduled for November 6, 2026. Markets exist for Auckland FC winning, Wellington Phoenix FC winning, and the game ending in a draw. Resolution depends on the official match result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket explicitly resolves to 'No' on cancellation, while Kalshi's cancellation handling is ambiguous.Hero tip: Consider the likelihood of cancellation when trading, as Polymarket's 'No' resolution on cancellation introduces a risk not fully reflected in Kalshi.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to 'No' if the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game. Uses a hierarchy of official sources (governing body, Flashscore, Sofascore, consensus) for resolution within 90 minutes + stoppage time.
  • Kalshi: Resolves based on the outcome of the game after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Does not explicitly address cancellation scenarios, implying resolution would be based on the outcome if the game were played.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Australia A-League game, scheduled for Friday, November 6, 2026 between Auckland FC and Wellington Phoenix FC.

Kalshi

The event determines the winner of the professional Australia A League soccer match between Auckland and Wellington scheduled for November 6, 2026. The market resolves based on the result after 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. Three possible outcomes are considered: Auckland win, Wellington win, or a tie. If the match is canceled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price. The event explicitly states that Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the likelihood of various outcomes for the Auckland vs. Wellington match. Currently, the aggregated view shows a consensus probability based on trading volume of $212 across both platforms. This allows users to see how the 'wisdom of the crowd' assesses the potential results of the game. The dashboard provides a combined view of market sentiment, reflecting the predictions of traders on both Polymarket and Kalshi regarding the match’s outcome. It's a useful tool for understanding the overall expectations surrounding this event.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect a more diverse range of information than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks typically set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates the collective intelligence of many traders. This can lead to differences in probabilities, as prediction markets are sensitive to news, social sentiment, and even subtle changes in team dynamics. While sportsbooks aim to profit from accurately setting odds, prediction market participants are incentivized to accurately *predict* the outcome, potentially leading to more efficient price discovery for this market.

Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has its own user base, trading rules, and liquidity, which can influence price formation. For example, Polymarket currently favors a win for one team at 43.5%, while Kalshi leans toward a different outcome at 42.0%. Differences in trading fees, market maker activity, and even the time of day can also contribute to these discrepancies. Additionally, the volume traded on each platform—currently $73 in 24-hour volume—can impact price stability and responsiveness.

This market resolves around Nov 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the Auckland vs. Wellington match will be used to determine the winning outcome. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing sporting body, ensuring a transparent and verifiable process. Traders will be able to see the final outcome and how it aligns with their predictions after this date, with payouts distributed accordingly based on the final result.

Several factors could significantly impact this market before Nov 7, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Auckland FC or Wellington Phoenix FC would likely cause a shift in probabilities. Unexpected changes in team form, coaching decisions, or even weather conditions could also influence trader sentiment. Major news events affecting the broader football league or even the countries involved could also have an impact. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to capitalize on market movements related to the Auckland vs. Wellington match.