TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 7:27 PM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional soccer match between Aucas and LDU Quito in Ecuador's LigaPro league. Bettors can speculate on whether Aucas will win, LDU Quito will win, or the game will end in a tie within regular time. The resolution depends solely on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The markets resolve based on the full-time result of the Aucas vs LDU Quito professional Ecuador LigaPro soccer match scheduled for October 17, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome for the Aucas market occurs if Aucas wins the match in regular time. Similarly, a 'Yes' for LDU Quito occurs if they secure a victory in regular time. The Tie market resolves to 'Yes' if the game concludes with an equal score after regular time. All markets exclude outcomes determined during extra time or penalty shootouts. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the markets will resolve to a fair price following the platform's guidelines. Kalshi clarifies that it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. As a result, prediction market prices can sometimes be more accurate, especially when incorporating information not fully captured by traditional models. Discrepancies can arise due to differing risk assessments, biases, or simply a larger pool of information considered by market participants. It’s important to compare both to gain a comprehensive view.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective intelligence of the crowd. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism means the odds can change rapidly based on new information or shifts in sentiment, offering opportunities for traders to profit from perceived mispricings.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be determined by the official result of the Aucas vs LDU Quito match, as reported by a recognized sports authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the final score. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect outcomes will not.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 18, 2026. News regarding player injuries, team form, changes in coaching staff, or even weather conditions could all impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about key players being unavailable would likely cause significant price movement. Additionally, large-volume trades from informed participants could also shift the odds. Monitoring these signals and analyzing their potential impact on the match outcome is crucial for successful trading in this market.