TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 6:52 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many points each team scores in an upcoming college football game. Each market corresponds to a specific point threshold for a team, determining whether they exceed that threshold during the match.
All markets resolve based on the official final point totals for Auburn and Tennessee in their college football game scheduled for October 3, 2026. For each market, if the specified team scores more than the stated point threshold (e.g., Tennessee over 9.5 points), the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the markets remain open and resolve based on the actual result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific point thresholds.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows traders to express their own beliefs about the likely outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously betting on both platforms. However, it’s important to remember that prediction market odds can be more volatile, especially closer to the event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different team total point values. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that specific total occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a particular total, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts based on supply and demand, providing a real-time assessment of expectations for the Auburn-Tennessee game's combined score. This creates a fluid pricing mechanism driven by trader activity.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final team totals for both Auburn and Tennessee will be added together, and that sum will be compared to the contract values traded on Kalshi. The contracts corresponding to the actual combined score will determine the winning outcomes. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and will be publicly available following the conclusion of the game.
Several factors could influence this market leading up to the game. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Auburn or Tennessee would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable for high or low scoring, could also impact trading activity. Additionally, late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team morale could shift expectations. Even public sentiment, reflected in polls or expert analysis, can influence traders' decisions and move the market.