TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 7:05 PM EST
Kalshi
This market asks whether Tennessee will win its college football game against Auburn by more than 2.5 points. Currently, Kalshi gives an 80.0% probability to Tennessee winning by over 2.5 points. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the Auburn vs Tennessee college football game originally scheduled for Oct 3, 2026, as determined by the final score reported by official sources. Keep an eye on the game itself on October 3, 2026, as the final point differential will determine the market’s resolution.
All markets resolve based on the official final result of the Auburn vs Tennessee college football game scheduled for Oct 3, 2026. For markets specifying a Tennessee win by a certain margin, resolution occurs if Tennessee wins by more than that margin; for Auburn markets, resolution occurs if Auburn wins by more than the stated margin. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the final result. Should the game fail to start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under unforeseen circumstances.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals trading based on their own information and beliefs. Often, prediction markets are seen as more accurate forecasters of event outcomes than traditional methods, as they aggregate a wider range of perspectives. However, sportsbook odds can still be a useful point of comparison when evaluating the potential value in this market.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the Auburn vs Tennessee game. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread being the final result. As more traders buy contracts predicting a specific spread, the price of those contracts increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust its predictions as the event approaches. The current price reflects the collective assessment of all participants.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread will be determined by the official result of the Auburn vs Tennessee football game. The market will settle to 100 if the actual point spread falls within the range of the winning contract, and 0 for losing contracts. Traders holding contracts on the correct spread will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on the incorrect spread will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Auburn or Tennessee teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if severe weather is expected during the game, could also impact the market. Public sentiment, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, can also play a role, though this market is driven by individual traders’ assessments. Finally, any late-breaking news related to team strategy or coaching decisions could shift the perceived probabilities and move the market.