TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 4:58 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on predicting which team will score the first touchdown in an upcoming college football game. It captures the excitement of early-game momentum and strategic starts between competing teams. The outcome depends purely on the first touchdown scored, regardless of how it is achieved.
The market resolves based on which team scores the first touchdown in the Auburn vs Tennessee college football game scheduled for October 3, 2026, including touchdowns scored in overtime periods. All types of touchdowns—offensive, defensive, and special teams—are counted toward the resolution. If neither team scores a touchdown during the entire game, including overtime, a specific "No team scores a TD" market resolves to Yes. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, the market remains open and resolves according to the official result. If the game does not start within this 48-hour window, the market resolves at a fair price. Kalshi clarifies that it holds no official affiliation with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and often incorporate a margin for profit, while this market is driven by individuals trading based on their own information and beliefs. If sportsbook odds heavily favor one team, you might see a smaller price difference in this market if a significant number of traders believe the other team has a better chance. It’s common to observe discrepancies, especially as new information emerges closer to the event, making this market a potentially valuable signal.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. As more people buy contracts for a particular team, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts to new information and trading activity, providing a real-time assessment of the likelihood of each team scoring the first touchdown. The current price reflects the collective intelligence of all traders participating in this market.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team scores the first touchdown in the Auburn vs Tennessee game. The official game results, as reported by a trusted sports data source, will determine the winning outcome. The platform will verify the result against these sources to ensure an accurate and transparent resolution process. Traders holding contracts for the winning team will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for the losing team will not.
Several factors could influence the price movement in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Auburn or Tennessee would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they favor a specific team’s offensive style, could also shift probabilities. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team morale could also play a role. Finally, large trading volume from informed individuals or groups could cause noticeable price fluctuations as they express their views on the likely outcome of the Auburn vs Tennessee game.