TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 6:14 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the point differential between Auburn and Tennessee specifically within the third quarter of their scheduled college football game. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of points by which either team must win that quarter to settle the outcome.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the third quarter of play in the Auburn vs Tennessee college football game scheduled for October 3, 2026. A market resolves to 'Yes' if the specified team wins the quarter by more than the stated point margin. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, the markets remain active and resolve according to the official result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of game timing or outcome beyond the third quarter.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on internal models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market’s pricing is driven purely by supply and demand. It's common to see differences emerge, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. Comparing the two can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making, but remember that each represents a distinct form of forecasting.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the Auburn-Tennessee 3rd quarter spread. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that specific spread occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the aggregated forecast. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price discovery process is entirely driven by user activity, meaning the market’s price is a direct expression of what traders are willing to pay or receive for a given outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread for the third quarter of the Auburn versus Tennessee game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official result will be used to determine which contracts pay out, and at what value. Traders who correctly predicted the spread will receive a payout based on the contract’s price at resolution, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their investment. The resolution process ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market’s outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Auburn or Tennessee teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also shift expectations. Additionally, in-game performance during the first and second quarters could lead to adjustments in the perceived likelihood of different third-quarter spreads. Public sentiment, reflected in social media and expert analysis, can also contribute to price movements in this market.