TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 5:16 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many points Auburn and Tennessee score together in the second quarter of their college football game. Each market has a different threshold, so traders can bet on whether the combined score will exceed various point totals.
These markets resolve based on the total points scored by both Auburn and Tennessee during the second quarter of their college football game scheduled for October 3, 2026. For any market to resolve as 'Yes,' the combined second-quarter points must exceed the specified threshold (e.g., 2.5, 5.5, 7.5 points, etc.). Only points officially recorded during the second quarter count toward resolution. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open and resolves based on the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by a small number of experts, while this market aggregates opinions from many participants. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or breaking news. However, as the event approaches, this market and sportsbook odds tend to converge as more information becomes available and the probabilities become clearer.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where buyers and sellers set the price of contracts. Currently, the contracts representing the 'Over 10.5' outcome are trading at a price that reflects the perceived probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price will move based on supply and demand; if more people believe the total will be over 10.5, the price will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official total points scored in the 2nd quarter of the Auburn vs Tennessee game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics as reported by the governing sports authority. The final price of the contracts will reflect whether the total points scored were over or under 10.5, determining payouts for those who participated in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Auburn or Tennessee would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect scoring, could also move the market. Additionally, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could influence traders' expectations. Even public sentiment, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, can contribute to price fluctuations in this market.