TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 5:16 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the point differential between Auburn and Tennessee specifically during the second quarter of their college football game. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of points by which either team must win that quarter to settle the outcome.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the second quarter of the Auburn vs Tennessee college football game scheduled for October 3, 2026. For any given market, a 'Yes' outcome occurs if the specified team wins the quarter by exceeding the stated point margin. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the actual second-quarter result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. The markets are independent of the overall game result and focus exclusively on second-quarter performance.
Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines due to the influence of public opinion and information aggregation. Sportsbooks set their lines based on expert analysis and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own beliefs. Over time, prediction market prices tend to be more accurate than traditional point spreads, as they incorporate a wider range of perspectives and react quickly to new information. However, sportsbook odds can sometimes offer value, especially if they move in response to market activity.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official result of the second quarter spread of the Auburn vs Tennessee game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread will be determined by the official game statistics, and the contracts will pay out based on whether the actual spread falls within the range represented by the purchased contracts. The market will then settle, and all winning contracts will be paid out to their holders.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Auburn or Tennessee teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, especially if they suggest conditions favoring one team's style of play, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, any late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions might lead to shifts in market sentiment. Public perception, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, can also play a role, although the market is ultimately driven by trader behavior on Kalshi.