TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 7:14 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score more points in the second half of an upcoming college football game between Auburn and Tennessee. It reflects the competitive dynamics of the latter portion of the match, offering insight into potential momentum shifts. The outcome depends solely on second-half performance, excluding any points scored in the first half.
If Tennessee wins the 2nd half (including overtime) of the Auburn vs Tennessee college football game originally scheduled for Oct 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Auburn wins the 2nd half (including overtime) of the Auburn vs Tennessee college football game originally scheduled for Oct 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 2nd half (including overtime) of the Auburn vs Tennessee college football game originally scheduled for Oct 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Often, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by traders directly expressing their beliefs about the likelihood of each outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists, it may indicate that the market perceives information differently than sportsbooks, or that one venue has a more informed or active trading base. Analyzing these differences can provide valuable insights into potential value opportunities.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome. The price of a contract reflects the market's probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the event. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current top outcome, as indicated by the highest probability, is Tennessee winning the 2nd half, though this can change rapidly with new trading activity. Traders are attempting to capitalize on perceived mispricings, driving the odds toward what they believe is the true probability.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the winner of the second half of the Auburn vs Tennessee game will determine the winning contract. The official game results, as reported by a trusted sports data source, will be used to verify the outcome. Traders who held contracts for the winning team will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for the losing team will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Late-breaking news regarding player injuries, changes in weather conditions, or even significant coaching decisions could all impact market sentiment. Unexpected pre-game analysis or public statements from key figures could also cause traders to reassess their probabilities. Furthermore, large-volume trades from informed participants can quickly move the market, especially if they signal a change in expectations. Monitoring these signals is crucial for anyone looking to trade in this market.