TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 4:16 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of two college football teams in the first quarter of their matchup, focusing on the margin of victory for either side. It allows participants to speculate on how dominant either team might be early in the game.
The event evaluates whether either Auburn or Tennessee achieves a specified point differential victory in the first quarter of their college football game scheduled for October 3, 2026. Multiple markets exist with varying point thresholds—ranging from over 2.5 to over 10.5 points—for both teams. All markets exclusively consider points scored during the first quarter. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the markets remain active and resolve based on the official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of game timing changes.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines due to the diverse perspectives of traders. Sportsbooks set their initial lines based on their own analysis, but this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs, potentially leading to odds that more accurately predict the actual outcome. It’s common to see this market diverge from sportsbook odds as new information becomes available and more traders participate. Analyzing these differences can be a valuable exercise for informed forecasting.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on the official first quarter spread of the Auburn versus Tennessee football game as reported by a major sports data provider. The final price of contracts in this market will reflect whether the actual spread fell above or below the specified contract values. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or fulfill their obligations based on the final outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to Oct 3, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Auburn or Tennessee would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favoring one team's style of play, could also move the market. Furthermore, any significant shifts in public sentiment, perhaps driven by expert analysis or updated power rankings, could influence trader behavior and alter the price of contracts in this market. Unexpected coaching decisions or late-breaking team news are also potential catalysts.