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$154.3b

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$219,029,434

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411,051

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40,408

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MATCHED EVENTS:

4,377

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

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VS.

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Auburn vs. Tennessee
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Auburn vs. Tennessee?

Volume:
$6,695,434

Tennessee

 - Kalshi

Tennessee - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 5, 2026

Closed: Oct 3, 7:05 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tennessee

View
100%
28%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,926,062
N/A
N/A
$1,617,183
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -6.5

View
100%
48%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$239,113
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -3.5

View
100%
40%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$10,845
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -2.5

View
100%
33%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$8,463
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -4.5

View
100%
42%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$7,794
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -5.5

View
100%
44%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,736
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -7.5

View
100%
55%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,198
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
100%
31%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,627
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 35.5

View
100%
11%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,139
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -8.5

View
100%
56%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$458
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Tennessee O/U 23.5

View
100%
25%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 37.5

View
100%
7%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

2Q Spread -1.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Auburn

View
0%
29%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,759,206
N/A
N/A
$1,771,057
Settled
No
polymarket

Auburn vs. Tennessee

View
0%
29%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$529,563
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$106,304
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -2.5

View
0%
25%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20,245
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 55.5

View
0%
44%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$16,684
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 51.5

View
0%
55%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13,519
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 39.5

View
0%
83%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13,514
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 45.5

View
0%
69%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,064
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 53.5

View
0%
51%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,975
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -14.5

View
0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,406
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -13.5

View
0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,250
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -20.5

View
0%
19%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,229
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 218

Intro

This market tracks the likelihood of Auburn vs. Tennessee exceeding 0.5 total 4th down conversions in their upcoming college football game, aggregating data from Polymarket and Kalshi. Currently, the consensus probability of this outcome occurring is 100.0%. The resolution source for this market is https://www.ncaa.com/. With markets also covering point spreads and quarterly scoring, a key signal to watch will be the game itself on October 3rd, as the total 4th down conversions will be tallied following the final whistle.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi offers a redundant 'either team wins' market, while Polymarket provides a comprehensive suite of markets including spreads and over/unders.Hero tip: Prioritize trading on Polymarket due to the greater variety and specificity of markets. Avoid the Kalshi market as it provides minimal informational value.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Resolves YES if either Auburn or Tennessee wins the game. This is a binary 'game happens' market with no predictive signal.
  • Polymarket: Offers markets resolving to the winning team (Auburn or Tennessee), point spreads, and over/under totals, providing more granular trading opportunities.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming college football game between Auburn and Tennessee, scheduled for October 3 at 3:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Auburn" if Auburn win the game. This market will resolve to "Tennessee" if Tennessee win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the official result of the Auburn vs Tennessee college football game scheduled for October 3, 2026. If either team wins the game as officially recorded, the corresponding market will resolve to Yes. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of its original time, the market remains open to resolve based on the final result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, the market will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. Kalshi clarifies that it is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those you see on this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to the nature of how they are created. Sportsbooks set odds based on internal models and aim to balance action on both sides, while prediction markets are driven by the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This can lead to prediction markets reflecting a more accurate probability, especially as more information becomes available. However, sportsbooks may offer more competitive pricing on certain outcomes, and arbitrage opportunities can sometimes exist between the two.

On Polymarket, traders set the odds by directly bidding on the probability of various outcomes, while Kalshi uses a different mechanism. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. This difference in market mechanics can lead to price discrepancies. Additionally, each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and information, which influences trading behavior. Trading volume can also vary significantly between the two platforms, impacting price discovery. Finally, differing fees and liquidity can contribute to the observed price divergence.

Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the probabilities in this market. Any significant news regarding player injuries, coaching changes, or team performance could trigger a response from traders. Unexpected weather forecasts for the game day could also play a role, as could major shifts in public sentiment or media coverage. Late-breaking news about team morale or strategic adjustments could also move the market, as traders react to new information and reassess the likely outcome of the Auburn-Tennessee football game.