TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 5:24 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many touchdowns are caught by players from each team during a college football matchup. The outcomes depend solely on the number of passes successfully turned into points for each side, with specific thresholds defined for both teams.
All markets resolve based on the official number of receiving touchdowns scored by each team in the Auburn vs Ole Miss college football game scheduled for October 31, 2026, including any touchdowns scored during overtime periods. A receiving touchdown is counted only when the player who catches the pass scores the touchdown themselves; if another player recovers a fumble and scores, it does not count as a receiving touchdown for the original catcher, though a player recovering their own fumble and scoring does count. Successful two-point conversions, regardless of when they occur, are excluded from all counts. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the final official result. If the game fails to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the NCAA, and all referenced trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. If a significant discrepancy emerges between prediction market prices and sportsbook odds, it might suggest that the market believes the sportsbook has mispriced the probability of Ole Miss scoring two or more receiving touchdowns. These differences can be valuable for informed decision-making.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing each outcome—in this case, whether Ole Miss will score two or more receiving touchdowns. The price of a contract reflects the market's assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price fluctuates based on supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price indicates the cost to purchase a contract that pays out if Ole Miss reaches the specified touchdown total, and conversely, the amount a seller receives for offering that contract.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, following the conclusion of the Auburn versus Ole Miss football game. The outcome will be determined by the official game statistics, specifically the number of receiving touchdowns scored by Ole Miss. The result will be verified against credible public reporting of the game's final statistics. The market will then pay out to those who correctly predicted whether Ole Miss would score two or more receiving touchdowns based on these official figures.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key Ole Miss receivers or the Auburn defensive secondary would likely have a significant impact. Changes in the weather forecast, particularly conditions that favor passing or running, could also shift the market. Furthermore, updates on the game plan or strategic adjustments announced by either coaching staff could influence trader sentiment. Finally, any significant shifts in public opinion or betting activity at sportsbooks could also contribute to movement in this market.