TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 4:15 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Ole Miss will win their college football game against Auburn by more than 10.5 points. Currently, Kalshi gives a 99.0% probability to Ole Miss winning by over 10.5 points. The market resolves based on the outcome of the Auburn vs Ole Miss game originally scheduled for October 31, 2026, as determined by the final score reported by official sources. Keep a close eye on the game itself on October 31, 2026, as the final point differential will determine the market’s resolution.
All markets resolve based on the official final point differential from the Auburn vs Ole Miss college football game scheduled for October 31, 2026. If Ole Miss wins, markets resolve to Yes if the victory margin exceeds the specified threshold (e.g., over 1.5, 3.5, up to 30.5 points). Conversely, if Auburn wins, markets resolve to Yes if their margin exceeds the corresponding threshold (e.g., over 1.5, 3.5, up to 13.5 points). Postponements are handled such that if the game commences within 48 hours of the original start time, markets remain open and resolve based on the final result. If the game does not start within this window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of game timing uncertainties.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the predictions of many individuals. Often, prediction markets are more accurate than point spreads offered by sportsbooks, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available. However, sportsbook odds are readily accessible and provide a useful benchmark for comparison when evaluating this market.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads. The price of each contract reflects the probability that the actual spread will fall on that side of the line. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective prediction. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movement is driven by supply and demand; if more people believe Auburn will cover, the price for that outcome will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures the market reflects the latest information and insights.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the Auburn versus Ole Miss football game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the governing body of college football. The market will determine which side of the spread was correct, based on the final score difference between the two teams. Traders holding contracts on the correct side of the spread will receive a payout.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either Auburn or Ole Miss would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if severe weather is predicted, could also impact the spread. Public sentiment, reflected in polls or expert analyses, can also play a role, though this market represents a distinct view. Finally, any significant shifts in betting patterns at sportsbooks might prompt traders to adjust their positions, moving the price of this market accordingly.