TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 5:24 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks which team will score the first touchdown in an upcoming college football game between Auburn and Ole Miss. It includes scenarios where either team scores first, or neither team scores a touchdown during the entire game, including any overtime periods.
The event determines the outcome based on which team scores the first touchdown in the Auburn vs Ole Miss college football game scheduled for October 31, 2026, or if no touchdown is scored at all. All types of touchdowns—including offensive, defensive, and special teams plays—are counted, and touchdowns scored in overtime still count toward the result. If neither team scores a touchdown at any point in the game, including overtime, the 'No team scores a TD' market resolves as the winner. Postponements are handled such that if the game starts within 48 hours of its original scheduled time, the market remains open and resolves based on the final result. If the game does not start within this 48-hour window, the market resolves at a fair price. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks and logos remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance betting action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market allows traders to directly express their beliefs about the probability of each team scoring first. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook has mispriced an outcome, the price on Kalshi will move accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, particularly as new information emerges or public opinion shifts leading up to the game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome – Auburn scoring first or Ole Miss scoring first. The price of a contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective intelligence of the crowd. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth, or the number of buy and sell orders at different price levels, also provides valuable information about potential price movements and trader confidence.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which team scores the first touchdown in the Auburn versus Ole Miss football game. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and play-by-play data, ensuring an accurate and impartial determination of the winning outcome. Traders will be able to see the final result and any associated payouts on Kalshi following the game’s completion.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Auburn or Ole Miss would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they favor one team’s offensive style, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, updates on team strategies or coaching decisions, as well as any shifts in public sentiment or expert analysis, could all contribute to price fluctuations. Unexpected developments during the game itself, such as a quick turnover or a dominant early drive, would also immediately move this market.